Critical accounting policies are those that require the application of our most difficult, subjective or complex judgments, often requiring us to make estimates about the effect of matters that are inherently uncertain and may change in subsequent periods, or for which the use of different estimates that could have reasonably been used in the current period, would have had a material impact on the presentation of our financial condition and results of operations. The following is not intended to be a comprehensive list of all our accounting policies. Our significant accounting policies are more fully described in note 1 to the consolidated financial statements. We have identified the following critical accounting policies with respect to our financial presentation.
Product Warranty
We warrant our product for specific periods of time. Product warranties vary depending
upon the nature of the product, the geographic location of its sales and other
factors. Our warranty expense accruals are costs for general warranties on products
we sell, product recalls and service actions outside the general warranties. We
provide for estimated warranty expenses at the time products are sold to customers
or new warranty programs are initiated. Estimated warranty expenses are provided
based on historical warranty claim experience with consideration given to the
expected level of future warranty costs, including current sales trends, the expected
number of units to be affected and the estimated average repair cost per unit
for warranty claims. Our products contain certain parts manufactured by third
party suppliers. As the manufacturing suppliers typically warrant these parts,
expected receivables from warranties of these suppliers are deducted from our
estimates of warranty expense accruals.
We believe that the accounting estimate related to warranty expense accruals is
a "critical accounting estimate" because changes in it can materially affect net
income, and it requires us to estimate the frequency and amounts of future claims,
which are inherently uncertain.
Our policy is to continuously monitor warranty expense accruals to determine their
adequacy. Therefore, warranty expense accruals are maintained at an amount we
deem adequate to cover estimated warranty expense.
Actual claims incurred in the future may differ from the original estimates, which may result in material revisions to the warranty expense accruals.
Allowance for Credit Losses
Our finance subsidiaries provide wholesale financing to dealers and retail lending
and direct financing leases to customers mainly in order to support sales of our
products principally in North America. We classify the receivables derived from
those services as finance subsidiaries-receivables.
An allowance for credit losses is maintained to cover estimated losses on finance
subsidiaries-receivables. To determine the overall allowance amount, receivables
are segmented into pools with common characteristics such as product and collateral
types. For each of these pools, we estimate losses primarily based on our historic
loss experiences, delinquency rates, recovery rates and scale and composition
of the portfolio, taking factors into consideration such as changing economic
conditions and changes in operational policies and procedures.
We believe that the accounting estimate related to allowance for credit losses
is a "critical accounting estimate" because it requires us to make assumptions
about inherently uncertain items including future economic trends, quality of
finance subsidiaries-receivables and other factors.
We review the adequacy of the allowance for credit losses, and the allowance for
credit losses is maintained at an amount that we deem sufficient to cover the
estimated credit losses on our owned portfolio of finance receivables. Actual
losses may differ from original estimate as a result of actual results varying
from those assumed in our estimates.
As an example of the sensitivity of the allowance calculation, the following scenario demonstrates the impact that a deviation in one of the primary factors estimated as a part of our allowance calculation would have an effect on the provision and allowance for credit losses. If we had experienced a 10% increase in net credit losses during fiscal 2004 in our North America portfolio, the provision for fiscal 2004 and the allowance balance at the end of fiscal 2004 would have increased by approximately ¥4.1 and ¥2.4 billion, respectively. Note that these sensitivities may be asymmetric, and are specific to the base condition in fiscal 2004.
Additional narrative of the Change in provision for credit loss as below
The following table shows information related to our credit loss experience in our North America portfolio:
Fiscal Year 2004 Compared with Fiscal Year 2003
Net charge-offs in our North America portfolio increased by ¥3.0 billion, or 23%,
primarily due to the increase in the size of our owned portfolio of finance receivables,
continued economic weakness contributing to increased customer defaults, and continued
weakness in used car markets reducing recoveries from sales of repossessed vehicles.
However, charge-offs as a percentage of average receivables remained consistent
with the previous fiscal year, increasing by only 0.02%.
This can be attributed to the growth in receivables in the current fiscal year,
which reduced this percentage.
The provision for credit losses in our North America portfolio increased by ¥6.8
billion, or 31%, due to increased charge-offs and the increase in the allowance
balance.
The allowance in our North America portfolio was increased by ¥7.0 billion, or
42%, primarily due to an increase in Finance receivables, as well as an increase
in our estimate of probable credit losses in the portfolio.
We expect charge-offs to increase due recent growth in new loan contracts.
Historically, the majority of customer defaults occur when loans are between one-half to one year old. As a result of recent growth in new loan contracts, charge-offs were estimated to increase accordingly in one-half to one year. Therefore, we estimated the allowance as a percentage of the amount of receivables as of March 31, 2004 to be 0.72%, which was 0.17% higher than for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2003.
Fiscal Year 2003 Compared with Fiscal Year 2002
Net charge-offs in our North America portfolio increased by ¥5.7 billion, or 77%.
The significant increase in charge-offs was due primarily to an increase in contract
over the prior fiscal year, the weakening economy, and weakness in used car markets.
However, charge-offs as a percentage of average finance receivables increased
by 0.13% (from 0.36% to 0.49%).
This can be attributed to the growth in finance receivables in fiscal 2003, which
reduced this percentage.
The provision for credit losses increased by ¥8.6 billion, or 65%, and the allowance increased by ¥5.0 billion, or 43%, due to an increase in finance receivables, increased charge-offs, and an increase in our estimate of probable credit losses in the portfolio.
Allowance for Losses on Lease Residual Values
End-customers of vehicles leased under a direct financing lease typically have
an option to buy the leased vehicle from the car dealership (dealer) for the estimated
residual value of the vehicle or to return the leased vehicle to the dealer at
the end of the lease term. Likewise, dealers have the option to return the vehicle
to our finance subsidiaries or to buy the leased vehicle at the end of the lease
term from our finance subsidiaries.
The likelihood that the leased vehicle will be purchased varies depending on the
difference between the actual market value of the vehicle at the end of the lease
and the residual value estimated at the time of inception of the lease.
Our finance subsidiaries initially determine the residual value of the leased
vehicle by using our estimation of future used vehicle values, which take into
consideration data gathered from third parties. Our finance subsidiaries recognize
a loss on the excess of the actual residual value over the fair market value of
a returned vehicle when the leased vehicle is returned to the finance subsidiary
at the end of the lease term. Our finance subsidiaries purchase insurance to cover
a portion of the estimated residual value at the end of the lease term of vehicles
leased to customers under direct financing leases. An allowance for expected losses
on lease residual values is maintained to cover estimated losses on the uninsured
portion of the vehicles' residual values.
We project two important components of losses in determining our allowance for
losses on lease residual values: expected frequency of returns, or the percentage
of leased vehicles we expect to be returned by customers at the end of the lease
term, and expected loss severity, or the expected difference between the residual
value and the amount we receive through sales of returned vehicles plus proceeds
from insurance. We estimate losses on lease residual values by evaluating several
different factors, including trends in historical and projected used vehicle values
and general economic measures.
We believe that the accounting estimate related to allowance for losses on lease
residual values is a "critical accounting estimate" because it is highly susceptible
to market volatility and requires us to make assumptions about future economic
trends and lease residual values.
The allowance is maintained at an amount we deem adequate to cover estimated losses
on the uninsured portion of the vehicles' lease residual values. Evaluating the
adequacy of the allowance requires us to make assumptions of inherently uncertain
factors, including changes in economic conditions. As a result, actual losses
incurred may differ from original estimates.
If future auction values for all Honda and Acura vehicles in our US lease portfolio
as of March 31, 2004, were to decrease by approximately ¥10,000 per unit from
our present estimates, the total impact would be an increase of our allowance
for losses on residual value by about ¥1.6 billion, which would be charged to
our provision for losses on residual values in the current year.
Similarly, if future return rates for our existing portfolio of Honda and Acura
vehicles were to increase by one percentage point from our present estimates,
the total impact would be to increase our allowance for losses on residual values
by about ¥0.4 billion, which would be charged to our provision for losses on residual
values in the current year.
Note that these sensitivities may be asymmetric, and are specific to the base conditions in fiscal 2004.
Pension and Other Postretirement Benefits
We have various pension plans covering substantially all of our employees in Japan
and in certain foreign countries. Benefit obligations and pension costs are based
on assumptions of many factors, including discount rate, rate of salary increase
and expected long-term rate of return on plan assets. The discount rate and expected
long-term rate of return on plan assets are determined based on our evaluation
of current market conditions including changes in interest rates. The salary increase
assumptions reflect our actual experience as well as near-term outlook. Our assumed
discount rate and rate of salary increase as of March 31, 2004 were 2.0% and 2.3%,
respectively, and our assumed expected long-term rate of return for the year ended
March 31, 2004 was 4.0% for Japanese plans. Our assumed discount rate and rate
of salary increase as of March 31, 2004 were 5.8-6.8% and 4.3-6.7%, respectively,
and our assumed expected long-term rate of return for fiscal 2004 was 6.8-8.5%
for foreign plans.
We believe that the accounting estimates related to our pension plans are "critical
accounting estimates" because changes in these estimates can materially affect
our financial condition and results of operations.
Actual results that differ from our assumptions are accumulated and amortized
over future periods and, therefore, generally affect our recognized expenses and
recorded obligations in future periods.
We believe that the assumptions used are appropriate. However, differences in actual experience or changes in assumptions could affect our pension costs and obligations, including our cash requirements to fund such obligations.
(*1) Note that these sensitivities may be asymmetric, and are specific to the base conditions at March 31, 2004.
(*2) Funded status for fiscal 2004 is affected by March 31, 2004 assumptions.
Pension expense for fiscal 2004 is affected by March 31, 2003 assumptions.